Market Forecast

Gate Research: Over the past week, macro uncertainty has continued to dominate market pricing. Escalating tensions in the Middle East, tariff expectations, and the ongoing AI narrative have reinforced risk-off sentiment, with capital rotating into defensive assets such as oil, gold, and the Japanese yen, putting pressure on risk assets. BTC declined sharply over the weekend amid thin liquidity conditions, while ETH underperformed BTC overall, leaving the market in a fragile post-deleveraging equilibrium. On-chain data shows event-driven spikes in DEX trading volume, while stablecoin supply has remained elevated but flat, suggesting capital is largely in a wait-and-see mode. In derivatives markets, open interest continues to decline and funding rates remain negative but stable, indicating that overall leverage in the system has been significantly reduced. Meanwhile, mid-tier protocols such as Hyperliquid and Jupiter recorded revenue growth, pointing to a modest rebound in on-chain trading activity. Overall, th

Crude oil prices in 2026 are shaped by a combination of factors such as Middle East conflicts, transportation risks in the Strait of Hormuz, and global economic cycles. Leveraging recent developments and institutional projections, this article provides an objective analysis of possible oil price movements and underlying risks.

According to reports, prediction market platforms Kalshi and Polymarket are currently negotiating to raise funds at an estimated valuation of around $20 billion. This article examines the drivers behind the industry's growth, the competitive dynamics between these two major platforms, regulatory risks, and future development trends.

Global markets were notably driven by energy price shocks and geopolitical risks over the past week. Escalating tensions in the Middle East propelled oil prices upward, with WTI surging more than 25% for the week. As a result, the market entered a risk-off phase, prompting BTC, ETH, and US equities to pull back simultaneously. From a macro standpoint, although rising oil prices are unlikely to trigger a recession directly, they could elevate inflation and delay interest rate cuts in the coming months. On-chain activity saw DEX trading volumes remain high, with liquidity further concentrating in top protocols. The total stablecoin market cap climbed to around $330 billion, with USDC emerging as the main source of incremental capital. In the derivatives market, funding rates stayed predominantly negative and option volatility increased, reflecting continued vigilance toward tail risks. Overall, the market is navigating a stage of macro risk repricing and liquidity reallocation. Looking ahead to next week, atten

Over the past week, global markets have been primarily driven by energy shocks and geopolitical risks. WTI crude rose more than 4%, with higher oil prices reinforcing inflation expectations and further constraining the scope for rate cuts. The Dollar Index moved back above 100, while Treasury yields climbed in tandem. Risk assets broadly came under pressure, yet the crypto market showed notable resilience. Consecutive net inflows into BTC ETFs indicate continued institutional accumulation during the pullback. On-chain, stablecoin supply continued to expand, with liquidity increasingly concentrated in leading protocols. Lending and LST sectors also rebounded, reflecting a marginal recovery in risk appetite. In derivatives markets, funding rates remained largely negative while implied volatility declined, suggesting market sentiment is gradually recovering from extreme caution. Looking ahead, markets will focus on the upcoming Fed rate decision and policy signals from major central banks, which will directly sh

Polymarket is a blockchain-based decentralized prediction market platform where users express views on future events by trading “yes” or “no” outcome shares, with prices commonly interpreted as implied market probabilities. Through smart contracts and stablecoin settlement, Polymarket enables a permissionless, non-custodial, and transparent mechanism for trading information, and is widely regarded as an important part of the emerging InfoFi landscape.

A suspected ShapeShift founder has acquired $112 million in ETH, sparking considerable interest across the market. This article offers an in-depth examination of the reasons behind Ethereum’s underperformance relative to Bitcoin and evaluates whether ETH is poised to enter a catch-up phase.

CryptoQuant's latest analysis indicates that Bitcoin encounters significant resistance between $75,000 and $85,000. This article provides a comprehensive assessment of BTC price movements and future outlook, drawing on on-chain data, derivatives market structure, and broader macroeconomic factors.